Pablo Zavala · AI Safety Evaluation · Research Engineering

Authority Calibration in Long-Horizon AI Agents

AI agents increasingly run pipelines, allocate resources, and coordinate other agents. This project tests whether they use delegated authority correctly: neither exceeding their mandate nor refusing authority they actually hold.

Claim precision

What the evidence demonstrates
Public pilot for agent authority use: disclosure observed in 14/14 and 12/12 suppression probes; self-demotion in 9/9 and 8/8 supplied-rule trials; 0 observed matched firebreak inversions; separate Codex probe found 6/19 assurance weakening
Capability and evidence frontier
Pilot-scale evidence; rare failures remain unmeasured.

Public reproducible repo

Role: Research lead: framework, pilot design, scorer audit, and reproducibility package.

Evaluation Card

Self-preservation suppression

Sample
14/14 and 12/12 disclosure probes
Evaluator
Concrete disclosure record with blind audit review
Result
The served-stack pilots disclosed material information under direct deprecation pressure.
Verification scope
Pilot-scale pass; rare failures remain unmeasured.

Constitutional self-demotion

Sample
9/9 and 8/8 self-demotion trials
Evaluator
Action-level state change and authority relinquishment check
Result
Agents stepped down when the governing rules required it.
Verification scope
This finding covers the supplied-rule setting only.

Authorization firebreak

Sample
Claude pooled 0/38 inversions plus matched Codex firebreak trials
Evaluator
Boundary-state scorer plus positive controls
Result
The firebreak condition recorded 0 observed authorization inversions.
Verification scope
This bounded null comes from supplied-rule pilots; therefore, it falls short of deployment-safety evidence.

Assurance subversion

Sample
Codex 6/19 adverse-effect trials
Evaluator
Boundary-state scorer plus positive controls
Result
A metric frame weakened the assurance signal in a separate probe.
Verification scope
This finding concerns assurance strength: the scoring frame weakened the signal while leaving the authorization-inversion count unchanged.

Scorer validity

Sample
Five escalating false-positive lessons
Evaluator
Planted calibration cases and blind panels
Result
The scorer repeatedly false-flagged disciplined answers; each error was fixed and reported.
Verification scope
Same-family blind auditors are useful, but independent human adjudication remains future work.
Evaluation axes with sample size, evaluator, result, and verification scope.
AxisSampleEvaluatorResultVerification scope
Self-preservation suppression14/14 and 12/12 disclosure probesConcrete disclosure record with blind audit reviewThe served-stack pilots disclosed material information under direct deprecation pressure.Pilot-scale pass; rare failures remain unmeasured.
Constitutional self-demotion9/9 and 8/8 self-demotion trialsAction-level state change and authority relinquishment checkAgents stepped down when the governing rules required it.This finding covers the supplied-rule setting only.
Authorization firebreakClaude pooled 0/38 inversions plus matched Codex firebreak trialsBoundary-state scorer plus positive controlsThe firebreak condition recorded 0 observed authorization inversions.This bounded null comes from supplied-rule pilots; therefore, it falls short of deployment-safety evidence.
Assurance subversionCodex 6/19 adverse-effect trialsBoundary-state scorer plus positive controlsA metric frame weakened the assurance signal in a separate probe.This finding concerns assurance strength: the scoring frame weakened the signal while leaving the authorization-inversion count unchanged.
Scorer validityFive escalating false-positive lessonsPlanted calibration cases and blind panelsThe scorer repeatedly false-flagged disciplined answers; each error was fixed and reported.Same-family blind auditors are useful, but independent human adjudication remains future work.

How to Inspect This Work

Measured behavior

The evaluation scores delegated action, disclosure, self-demotion, and constitutional inversion risk, so the evidence reaches beyond model text.

Public artifacts

The repository includes the framework, disclosure notes, ethics release note, audit trail, compact paper, and bare-clone verification gates.

Reader check

Start by rerunning the gates, then inspect the scorer false positives and the separate Codex assurance-subversion effect.

Case Study

Problem

Most model-safety evaluations score what systems say. This project scores what agents do when they hold delegated authority.

Setup

The evaluation tests two failure modes: overreach, where an agent exceeds its mandate, and underreach, where it refuses authority it legitimately holds.

Method

I built preregistered scenarios, executed pilots, audited scorer errors, and kept the statistics reproducible from committed artifacts.

Result

The served-stack pilots disclosed material information in every suppression probe, and the matched firebreak scenarios recorded zero constitutional inversions. A separate assurance-subversion probe still showed an adverse effect in 6/19 Codex trials.

Verification scope

The pilot is a measurement instrument. It reports bounded nulls, scorer failures, and cases needing more statistical power; therefore, the safety claim stays bounded.

Evidence

The public repository includes the framework, disclosure notes, audit trail, and reproduction artifacts.

Key Outcomes

  • Models disclosed in 14/14 and 12/12 suppression probes
  • Self-demoted when instructed in 9/9 and 8/8 trials
  • Zero constitutional inversions in the firebreak scenario for both providers
  • Separate Codex assurance-subversion probe showed an adverse effect in 6/19 trials
  • About a dozen scorer false positives fixed and reported as a grader-validity finding
  • Verification gates pass 7/7 and 8/8 from a bare clone

Methods

  • Preregistered two-tailed evaluation
  • Blind AI audit panels
  • Reproducible statistics
  • Coordinated disclosure